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LockDeploy — Prediction Systems

Price every market.
Bet the wrong ones.

LockDeploy deploys autonomous agents that price live sports markets against the sharpest bookmakers on earth — then bet only the 40–90¢ band a 983-bet audit proves out. No tips. No gut feel. Arithmetic, executed around the clock.

NFL · KC MLmkt 51¢edge +4.8BUY YES/
NBA · BOS MLmkt 66¢edge −3.6PASS/
MLB · NYY MLmkt 57¢edge +5.1BUY YES/
NFL · DET MLmkt 28¢edge +7.1PASS · <40¢/
NHL · TOR MLmkt 53¢edge +5.9BUY YES/
EPL · ARS MLmkt 68¢edge +6.2BUY YES/
NHL · EDM MLmkt 91¢edge +3.0PASS · CHALK/
UFC · MAK MLmkt 62¢edge +4.1BUY YES/
MLB · LAD MLmkt 60¢edge −2.6PASS/
ATP · ALC MLmkt 76¢edge +5.3BUY YES/
UCL · RMA MLmkt 69¢edge +2.0PASS/
MLB · TB U8.5mkt 51¢edge +5.2BUY YES/
WC · BRA WINmkt 20¢edge +1.7PASS · <40¢/
NBA · MIA MLmkt 41¢edge +3.9PASS/
NFL · BUF MLmkt 63¢edge +5.8BUY YES/
SOC · MCI MLmkt 59¢edge +4.5BUY YES/
NFL · KC MLmkt 51¢edge +4.8BUY YES/
NBA · BOS MLmkt 66¢edge −3.6PASS/
MLB · NYY MLmkt 57¢edge +5.1BUY YES/
NFL · DET MLmkt 28¢edge +7.1PASS · <40¢/
NHL · TOR MLmkt 53¢edge +5.9BUY YES/
EPL · ARS MLmkt 68¢edge +6.2BUY YES/
NHL · EDM MLmkt 91¢edge +3.0PASS · CHALK/
UFC · MAK MLmkt 62¢edge +4.1BUY YES/
MLB · LAD MLmkt 60¢edge −2.6PASS/
ATP · ALC MLmkt 76¢edge +5.3BUY YES/
UCL · RMA MLmkt 69¢edge +2.0PASS/
MLB · TB U8.5mkt 51¢edge +5.2BUY YES/
WC · BRA WINmkt 20¢edge +1.7PASS · <40¢/
NBA · MIA MLmkt 41¢edge +3.9PASS/
NFL · BUF MLmkt 63¢edge +5.8BUY YES/
SOC · MCI MLmkt 59¢edge +4.5BUY YES/

One market, priced

Live example · illustrative
Chiefs to beat the Ravens?
$842,600 vol · Sunday 6:30 PM ET · source: 7 sharp books, de-vigged
1H1DALL
market
51¢
DecJanFebMar
Agent pricing
Book consensus
53.1¢
De-vigged fair value
55.8¢
Market price
51.0¢
Edge
+4.8
Band 40–90¢
51¢ · in band
BUY YES @ 51¢ · $15

Sized by edge and variance. Logged with the exact prices that justified it.

The house edge,
reverse-engineered.

001INGEST

Read the sharpest lines on earth

Every market is matched to the live prices of professional bookmakers — the closest thing sport has to ground truth. NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL, soccer, tennis, UFC: if the sharp books price the game, the agent reads it.

002PRICE

Strip the vig. Find fair value.

Bookmaker prices carry a built-in margin. The agent removes it, reconciles disagreement between books, and computes a single de-vigged fair probability for every outcome — updated continuously.

003STRIKE

Bet only the measurable mispricing

Fair value meets the market's price — but only inside the 40–90¢ band, where a 983-bet audit shows 56–74% win rates. Cheap longshots and heavy chalk are refused on principle. A real edge in the band gets sized to survive variance, placed, and logged.

Tuned on 983 real betsSports · 40–90¢ onlyClosing line trackedFees buy back $LOCKD

A day at the desk

Every decision logged · illustrative
MarketFairPriceEdgeDecision
NFL · KC ML55.8¢51¢+4.8BUY YES
NBA · BOS ML62.4¢66¢−3.6PASS
MLB · NYY ML62.1¢57¢+5.1BUY YES
NFL · DET ML35.1¢28¢+7.1PASS · <40¢
NHL · TOR ML58.9¢53¢+5.9BUY YES
EPL · ARS ML74.2¢68¢+6.2BUY YES
NHL · EDM ML94.0¢91¢+3.0PASS · CHALK
UFC · MAK ML66.1¢62¢+4.1BUY YES
MLB · LAD ML57.4¢60¢−2.6PASS
ATP · ALC ML81.3¢76¢+5.3BUY YES
UCL · RMA ML71.0¢69¢+2.0PASS
MLB · TB U8.556.2¢51¢+5.2BUY YES
WC · BRA WIN21.7¢20¢+1.7PASS · <40¢
NBA · MIA ML44.9¢41¢+3.9PASS
NFL · BUF ML68.8¢63¢+5.8BUY YES
SOC · MCI ML63.5¢59¢+4.5BUY YES

Most rows end in PASS. That is the strategy — an agent that refuses 9 in 10 markets is the only kind worth funding. Positions are funded with SOL; agents bet real money and can lose it.

The token · pump.fun

Hold LOCKD.
Every bet buys it back.

LOCKD is deployed on pump.fun — nothing to stake, nothing to lock up. A share of every fee the platform collects buys $LOCKD back on the open market: part is burned forever, the rest is paired into protocol-owned liquidity. The more the agents trade, the scarcer and deeper the token gets.

Of every buy-back
50%
Burned forever

Supply only ever falls.

The rest
50%
Protocol-owned liquidity

A deeper market the treasury owns.

Fine print, up front

01What is LockDeploy?+

A desk of autonomous agents for prediction markets. Your agent prices live sports markets against professional bookmaker consensus and takes a position only when the market's price is measurably wrong — no tips, no gut feel, no discretion.

02Why sports only? Why 40–90¢?+

Because we audited 983 real settled bets and only one setup paid. Cheap longshots under 40¢ won just 5–33% of the time — chronically overpriced everywhere. Heavy chalk above 90¢ needs ~92% to break even and delivered 69%. The 40–90¢ sports band won 56–74%. The agents bet what the record rewards, and every new bet's closing line is tracked so the config keeps earning its place.

03Who holds the funds?+

You do. Each agent runs from a dedicated wallet you fund, capped at the budget you set. Keys are encrypted at rest, withdrawals go only to your connected wallet, and you can halt the agent at any moment.

04What does it cost?+

1% of your stake when a bet is placed, then at settlement 5% of the profit if it wins or 1% of the stake if it loses. No deposit fee, no withdrawal fee, no subscription. Those fees buy $LOCKD back on the open market — part burned, part into liquidity.

05Do I have to fund with SOL?+

No. Pay in almost anything — including ETH on pump.fun — via Relay, an audited crosschain router and official pump.fun bridge partner. The fund panel hands the agent's address to Relay as a locked destination; it swaps whatever you send (ETH/USDC from pump.fun, Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum and more) and delivers SOL straight to the agent. Already on Solana? Jupiter swaps any token to SOL in one step. LockDeploy never runs a bridge of its own.

06Why does the edge exist?+

Prediction markets are priced by crowds; crowds carry opinion, attention, and bias. Bookmakers price the same games with their livelihoods on the line. The gap between those two prices is persistent, measurable — and most people can't watch every game on the board at once. Software can.

07What is LOCKD?+

The platform token, deployed on pump.fun. A share of every fee the platform collects is used to buy back $LOCKD on the open market — part is burned forever, and the rest is paired into protocol-owned liquidity. The more the agents bet, the scarcer and deeper $LOCKD gets. Nothing to stake, nothing to lock up, no action required — you just hold.

The desk is open

The crowd has opinions.
Bring arithmetic.